The Campaign Decoder
A Weekly Online Magazine to Understand the 2016 US Presidential Elections
Made by 1st Year Students in the English Department at Rouen University
with a little help from Prof. Peter Marquis.
The New Hampshire Issue
#3. Feb. 10 2016
printable version
Contents
- Breaking News: The New Hampshire Results
- The News This Past Week: "Focus on the New Hampshire Race."
- What to Look At in the Coming Weeks: "The Stakes of South Carolina"
- Background Check: "#3. Who Are the Main Candidates?"
- Media Watch: "The Fight for New Hampshire."
- Cartoon of the Week: "Trump's Embarrassment"
The editors-in-chief for this issue were Jérémie Dhoye and Amélie Desombre.
Publisher's note: all the articles were researched, written and proofread by students. It is their original work. Plagiarism check was done using Urkund. Some pieces of information were added by the publisher. For any questions or comments, write us here.
Breaking News: The New Hampshire Results
By the Publisher
Bernie Sanders won New Hampshire by a wide margin (over 20 percent points), beating Hillary Clinton in a state that usually favors moderate Democrats. The former State Secretary and first Lady lost in a all demographics except the over-65 and the most affluent (source).
On the Republican side, Donald Trump finished first with about 35%. He beat Kasich (18%) who was supported by the New York Times and Cruz who finished a strong third at 12%, although New Hampshire has few conservatives and religious voters (source).
Most of the US press analyzed these results as signs of voters’ dissatisfaction with the so-called “Establishment.” Exit polls will confirm or refute this claim. Last week in Iowa, many pundits were surprised to hear that more voters worried over “jobs” than “felt anger at the government” or “at immigration” (source).
Bernie Sanders won New Hampshire by a wide margin (over 20 percent points), beating Hillary Clinton in a state that usually favors moderate Democrats. The former State Secretary and first Lady lost in a all demographics except the over-65 and the most affluent (source).
On the Republican side, Donald Trump finished first with about 35%. He beat Kasich (18%) who was supported by the New York Times and Cruz who finished a strong third at 12%, although New Hampshire has few conservatives and religious voters (source).
Most of the US press analyzed these results as signs of voters’ dissatisfaction with the so-called “Establishment.” Exit polls will confirm or refute this claim. Last week in Iowa, many pundits were surprised to hear that more voters worried over “jobs” than “felt anger at the government” or “at immigration” (source).
The News This Past Week
Focus on the New Hampshire Race
By Victor Clarke and Théo Poutrain
(Publisher’s note: when this magazine was prepared on Monday, the New Hampshire results were not known yet).
On Wednesday, we will know the results of the next round of primary elections in New Hampshire. After the results in Iowa, every candidate is running towards New Hampshire.
Located between Maine and Massachusetts, the East coast state is a big deal in these primaries, because Donald Trump is the actual favorite in this round of elections with a leading poll of 35%. This major progress is due to Facebook and online engagement. Trump is currently moving to New Hampshire to inspire the partisans and secure his advantage, since the state has a Republican and conservative majority.
However, Ted Cruz has gone up since his strong performance in Iowa with 13% of the votes. He is currently considered the true winner of Iowa, since Hillary Clinton is slacking in the polls. Bernie Sanders is digging up the gap with 55% of the polls despite his close loss in Iowa. Hillary Clinton is trying to rally female voters to her cause, but even female poll tendencies seem to go for Sanders.
But, nothing is settled. The Super Bowl this past Sunday had major advertising campaigns that could change the balance. Nearly $2 million on TV advertisements were spent during the Super Bowl according to sources tracking ad buy. Moreover, an ABC poll from The Washington Post this week tells that « 69% of Americans feel anxious about of a Trump presidency. »
Source: Washington post #1 , Washington post #2, Washington Post #3, Washington Post #4, NY Times #1
By Victor Clarke and Théo Poutrain
(Publisher’s note: when this magazine was prepared on Monday, the New Hampshire results were not known yet).
On Wednesday, we will know the results of the next round of primary elections in New Hampshire. After the results in Iowa, every candidate is running towards New Hampshire.
Located between Maine and Massachusetts, the East coast state is a big deal in these primaries, because Donald Trump is the actual favorite in this round of elections with a leading poll of 35%. This major progress is due to Facebook and online engagement. Trump is currently moving to New Hampshire to inspire the partisans and secure his advantage, since the state has a Republican and conservative majority.
However, Ted Cruz has gone up since his strong performance in Iowa with 13% of the votes. He is currently considered the true winner of Iowa, since Hillary Clinton is slacking in the polls. Bernie Sanders is digging up the gap with 55% of the polls despite his close loss in Iowa. Hillary Clinton is trying to rally female voters to her cause, but even female poll tendencies seem to go for Sanders.
But, nothing is settled. The Super Bowl this past Sunday had major advertising campaigns that could change the balance. Nearly $2 million on TV advertisements were spent during the Super Bowl according to sources tracking ad buy. Moreover, an ABC poll from The Washington Post this week tells that « 69% of Americans feel anxious about of a Trump presidency. »
Source: Washington post #1 , Washington post #2, Washington Post #3, Washington Post #4, NY Times #1
What to Look At in the Coming Weeks
The Stakes of South Carolina
By S. Néel and L. Hautbois
The next big step in the US presidential election is the South Carolina primaries, which takes place right after the New Hampshire primary.
The South Carolina primaries will be held on Saturday, February 20 for the Republican vote and on Saturday February 27 for Democratic vote. Each voters will go to their precincts to choose their respective party presidential nominee. According to the local news channel WYFF-4, “these primaries are considered “open,”” which means that a Republican can vote in the Democrat race and a Democrat can choose the vote for a Republican candidate. The result will have a big impact on the final decision for the presidential election.
Indeed, it is considered as one of “early states" in the nomination process because it is the first southern state to vote for presidential candidate for each party nomination. That is why South Carolina holds the title of the “first–in–the–south”.
South Carolina is the first massive test for candidates in the process. Since 1980, South Carolina primaries have chosen the eventual Republican nominee every years.
However, it is also a massive step for the candidates because South Carolina has the reputation to “make or break” a candidate because it is the first serious primary that can have a major impact on which candidate will be chosen to represent each party.
The fight seems to be between Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio for the Republican and between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders for the Democrats.
Sources:
By S. Néel and L. Hautbois
The next big step in the US presidential election is the South Carolina primaries, which takes place right after the New Hampshire primary.
The South Carolina primaries will be held on Saturday, February 20 for the Republican vote and on Saturday February 27 for Democratic vote. Each voters will go to their precincts to choose their respective party presidential nominee. According to the local news channel WYFF-4, “these primaries are considered “open,”” which means that a Republican can vote in the Democrat race and a Democrat can choose the vote for a Republican candidate. The result will have a big impact on the final decision for the presidential election.
Indeed, it is considered as one of “early states" in the nomination process because it is the first southern state to vote for presidential candidate for each party nomination. That is why South Carolina holds the title of the “first–in–the–south”.
South Carolina is the first massive test for candidates in the process. Since 1980, South Carolina primaries have chosen the eventual Republican nominee every years.
However, it is also a massive step for the candidates because South Carolina has the reputation to “make or break” a candidate because it is the first serious primary that can have a major impact on which candidate will be chosen to represent each party.
The fight seems to be between Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio for the Republican and between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders for the Democrats.
Sources:
Background Check
#3. The Main Candidates in 2016
by Jeff Denise and Audrey Daniel
FOR THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY (by alphabetical order)
1. Hillary Rodham Clinton (age 67)
Quick Biography : She is both a Democratic stateswomen and a former White House resident. Born in Chicago, she studied Law at Wellesley, married Bill Clinton and became the First Lady from 1993 to 2001. From there on she started her own career in politics, becoming Senator (New York State), Secretary of State and, now for the second time, presidential candidate. She lost the Democratic nomination to B. Obama in 2008.
Political Views : At the CNN/YouTube Democratic primary debate in June 2007, in response to the question of whether she would describe herself as a liberal, Clinton said: “I consider myself a modern progressive, someone who believes strongly in individual rights and freedoms, who believes that we are better as a society when we're working together”.
Campaign Website : https://www.hillaryclinton.com/
2. Bernie Sanders (age 74)
Quick Biography: Born in 1941, politician Bernie Sanders is a Democratic candidate for President of the United States. In 2006, he was elected to the U.S. Senate after 16 years as Vermont’s sole congressman in the House of Representatives.
Political Views: Sanders, the left-wing Vermont senator taps into a real hunger for change. Sanders, who describes himself as a “Democratic Socialist” stated that he wanted “an economy that works for all, not just the very wealthy”. The senator desires to redistribute the wealth.
Campaign Website : https://go.berniesanders.com/page/content/splash
FOR THE REPUBLICAN PARTY (by alphabetical order)
1. Jeb Bush (age 62)
Quick Biography: With the Clintons' taking part in the race it seems only fitting that the US's other dynastic political family, the Bush, are given a chance to “take back the title.” Jeb Bush, despite being the brother of an American President with one of the lowest approval rates in history, he is still a strong republican candidate.
Political Views: Since his time as a governor (in Florida), Jeb stressed improving America's education standards. Jeb is also very pro-gun, he introduced the country's very first “Stand your Ground Law”. Today, he states that he would still have launched the massively unpopular war on Iraq.
Campaign Website : https://jeb2016.com/
2. Ted Cruz (age 45)
Quick Biography: Born in 1970, American conservative politician Ted Cruz grew up in Houston, Texas, earning his bachelor's at Princeton University and going on to Harvard Law School. He worked as an attorney for some time before serving as an advisor on George.W.Bush's campaign in 2000. He is now working as a Senator and wishes to become America's next President.
Political Views: an arch-conservative firebrand, Cruz is favorable to death penalty and is against abortion, same sex marriage, and gun control laws. Since his opinion goes against Obama Care, Cruz wants to repeal it
Campaign Website : https://www.tedcruz.org/
3. Marco Rubio (age 44)
Quick Biography: Rubio was born in Miami, Florida and is the son of Cuban refugees. Marco Rubio is handsome, Hispanic and smart – appealing to conservatives and moderates alike.
Political Views: As a Republican and a Conservative, he opposes gay marriage, abortion and increase in taxes, However, Rubio's conservative stances are slightly different than those of his fellow Republican candidates. When it comes to immigration, he is somewhat more flexible.
Campaign Website : https://marcorubio.com/
4. Donald Trump (age 69)
Quick Biography: Trump, born in 1946, is a billionaire real estate developer (ex: Trump Tower), businessman and television personality. According to OpenSecrets.org, "After decades of persistent flirtation with the idea of seeking a White House bid, Trump announced on June 16, 2015, that he would officially seek the GOP nomination. Having never previously held office, Trump will likely tout his success in business as the focal point of his presidential platform."
Political Views: Donald Trump's political views and public appearances are as unpredictable as they are controversial. Trump has described his political leanings and positions in various, sometimes contradictory ways over time. He is widely known for wanting to ban all Muslims from entering America and for being a great supporter of the Second Amendment (i.e the right to bear arms), his comment on the Paris Attacks was that the outcome would have been much different if the victims had been carrying guns.
Campaign Website : https://www.donaldjtrump.com/
Sources:
1. Hillary Rodham Clinton (age 67)
Quick Biography : She is both a Democratic stateswomen and a former White House resident. Born in Chicago, she studied Law at Wellesley, married Bill Clinton and became the First Lady from 1993 to 2001. From there on she started her own career in politics, becoming Senator (New York State), Secretary of State and, now for the second time, presidential candidate. She lost the Democratic nomination to B. Obama in 2008.
Political Views : At the CNN/YouTube Democratic primary debate in June 2007, in response to the question of whether she would describe herself as a liberal, Clinton said: “I consider myself a modern progressive, someone who believes strongly in individual rights and freedoms, who believes that we are better as a society when we're working together”.
Campaign Website : https://www.hillaryclinton.com/
2. Bernie Sanders (age 74)
Quick Biography: Born in 1941, politician Bernie Sanders is a Democratic candidate for President of the United States. In 2006, he was elected to the U.S. Senate after 16 years as Vermont’s sole congressman in the House of Representatives.
Political Views: Sanders, the left-wing Vermont senator taps into a real hunger for change. Sanders, who describes himself as a “Democratic Socialist” stated that he wanted “an economy that works for all, not just the very wealthy”. The senator desires to redistribute the wealth.
Campaign Website : https://go.berniesanders.com/page/content/splash
FOR THE REPUBLICAN PARTY (by alphabetical order)
1. Jeb Bush (age 62)
Quick Biography: With the Clintons' taking part in the race it seems only fitting that the US's other dynastic political family, the Bush, are given a chance to “take back the title.” Jeb Bush, despite being the brother of an American President with one of the lowest approval rates in history, he is still a strong republican candidate.
Political Views: Since his time as a governor (in Florida), Jeb stressed improving America's education standards. Jeb is also very pro-gun, he introduced the country's very first “Stand your Ground Law”. Today, he states that he would still have launched the massively unpopular war on Iraq.
Campaign Website : https://jeb2016.com/
2. Ted Cruz (age 45)
Quick Biography: Born in 1970, American conservative politician Ted Cruz grew up in Houston, Texas, earning his bachelor's at Princeton University and going on to Harvard Law School. He worked as an attorney for some time before serving as an advisor on George.W.Bush's campaign in 2000. He is now working as a Senator and wishes to become America's next President.
Political Views: an arch-conservative firebrand, Cruz is favorable to death penalty and is against abortion, same sex marriage, and gun control laws. Since his opinion goes against Obama Care, Cruz wants to repeal it
Campaign Website : https://www.tedcruz.org/
3. Marco Rubio (age 44)
Quick Biography: Rubio was born in Miami, Florida and is the son of Cuban refugees. Marco Rubio is handsome, Hispanic and smart – appealing to conservatives and moderates alike.
Political Views: As a Republican and a Conservative, he opposes gay marriage, abortion and increase in taxes, However, Rubio's conservative stances are slightly different than those of his fellow Republican candidates. When it comes to immigration, he is somewhat more flexible.
Campaign Website : https://marcorubio.com/
4. Donald Trump (age 69)
Quick Biography: Trump, born in 1946, is a billionaire real estate developer (ex: Trump Tower), businessman and television personality. According to OpenSecrets.org, "After decades of persistent flirtation with the idea of seeking a White House bid, Trump announced on June 16, 2015, that he would officially seek the GOP nomination. Having never previously held office, Trump will likely tout his success in business as the focal point of his presidential platform."
Political Views: Donald Trump's political views and public appearances are as unpredictable as they are controversial. Trump has described his political leanings and positions in various, sometimes contradictory ways over time. He is widely known for wanting to ban all Muslims from entering America and for being a great supporter of the Second Amendment (i.e the right to bear arms), his comment on the Paris Attacks was that the outcome would have been much different if the victims had been carrying guns.
Campaign Website : https://www.donaldjtrump.com/
Sources:
- http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/2016-presidential-candidates.html?_&_r=0
- http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/us-election/11594053/US-election-2016-What-you-need-to-know.html
- https://en.wikipedia.org
- https://www.youtube.com/user/TestTubeNetwork/videos
Media Watch: How Did the Media Cover the Campaign This Week?
The Fight for New Hampshire
By Anicée Renouf
The main subjects in newspapers this week is the primary elections in New Hampshire.
Donald Trump, Marco Rubio or Bernie Sanders talked in front of the people of New Hampshire to try and win votes.
Marco Rubio plummeted to fourth place in the polls with 10 percent, while Donald Trump received 35 percent.
Newspapers put forward Trump and Rubio in the Republican debate in New Hampshire because Trump has increased a lot, whereas Rubio lost likely voters.
According to Politico, Trump or Sanders could win the election in New Hampshire in a great majority. They put them forward, and let the other politicians "behind the scene."
In The Wall Street Journal, Sanders and Clinton are the most represented. In fact the editors think that one of them will win this election. Hillary Clinton made a optimistic speech the day before voters cast their ballots. It would be a good idea to explain again to people what she could do if she win the election, the newspaper recommended.
Sources :
By Anicée Renouf
The main subjects in newspapers this week is the primary elections in New Hampshire.
Donald Trump, Marco Rubio or Bernie Sanders talked in front of the people of New Hampshire to try and win votes.
Marco Rubio plummeted to fourth place in the polls with 10 percent, while Donald Trump received 35 percent.
Newspapers put forward Trump and Rubio in the Republican debate in New Hampshire because Trump has increased a lot, whereas Rubio lost likely voters.
According to Politico, Trump or Sanders could win the election in New Hampshire in a great majority. They put them forward, and let the other politicians "behind the scene."
In The Wall Street Journal, Sanders and Clinton are the most represented. In fact the editors think that one of them will win this election. Hillary Clinton made a optimistic speech the day before voters cast their ballots. It would be a good idea to explain again to people what she could do if she win the election, the newspaper recommended.
Sources :
Cartoon of the Week: Trump's Embarrassment
By Thibault Guillerme and Anaïs Meurie
In this cartoon, Donald Trump went back on the statements he had made in the past. Trump who is, according to him, invincible, ended second just behind his opponent Ted Cruz in the Iowa primary election. In most media, he is often represented as a tall and strong man but Donald Trump can't stop criticizing the second place. Indeed, he declared “No one remembers who came in second.” Trump is not a real politician and he fell high on hearing the results in Iowa. Nevertheless, Donald Trump who alleged fraud, announces to be delighted even honored about the score. Trump got upset to have lost the election, so he changed his speech. Second is not the last, it’s even a good place.
Author: Bryant Arnold.
Author: Bryant Arnold.
End of Issue #2. Thanks for reading. See you next Wednesday.